Break from wintry weather as UK temperatures to climb as high as 14C

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Cloudy skies with daffodils in the foreground.Image source, BBCWeatherWatchers/Nadezna

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Daffodils in the Vale of Glamorgan on Thursday. Spring is just around the corner

ByDarren Bett

Lead Weather Presenter

A major change in the UK's weather pattern is heading our way.

The brief spell of cold weather with frost, ice and hill snow is ending, with temperatures set to jump by up to 10C from Friday onwards.

The blocked weather pattern which has been maintaining the recent wintry spell is being pushed away with milder air sticking around for the next week or so.

It will be accompanied by further spells of wet weather coming across from the Atlantic.

Heaviest rain is expected to be over western hills and the ongoing threat of flooding is likely to continue.

Two UK temperature maps comparing maximum temperatures of 10-14 Celsius this weekend with the average maximum temperatures for this time of year of 8 or 9 Celsius.

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Maximum temperatures this weekend will be higher than the average for mid February

Recent days have seen temperatures typically 4C or 5C (39-41F) by day and as low as minus 9C (16F) in Scotland at night. It also felt colder in the strong south-easterly wind.

The cold air is being pushed away to the east of the UK and a change to south-westerly winds will bring much milder air from the Atlantic.

Daytime temperatures will be 10-14 Celsius (50-57F) in many parts of the country over the weekend and into next week. The risk of frost is much reduced with temperatures at night generally falling to 5-9 Celsius (41-48F).

There has been a stark lack of mild days in Scotland this year, with the start of 2026 marking the longest wait for the temperature to reach 12C (54F) in the country since 1986.

Why such a significant change?

Temperature map showing yellow and orange colours (warmer air) over the UK. Jet stream winds over Northern Ireland and Scotland.

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Jet stream further north allowing south-westerly winds to lift temperatures

The cold blocking area of high pressure over Scandinavia that has been in place for much of 2026 so far is being pushed away. That means milder winds can push across the whole of northern Europe more consistently.

The jet stream, which has been positioned across the UK for the last few weeks will move further north at times, keeping the UK in warmer air.

Risk of flooding to continue

Flooded river showing benched sitting in water, boats docked and birds.Image source, BBCWeatherWatchers/s Pace

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Flooding in Datchet. A large number of flood warnings are in southern England

The persistence of the rain has led to the flooding many parts of the UK have experienced.

Parts of Cornwall have had rain falling on each of the last 50 days.

Katesbridge in Northern Ireland and Aboyne in Scotland have already had half a years rainfall in just a few weeks.

UK map showing rainfall totals this year at the wettest locations for each home nation. 406mm of rain at Aboyne in Scotland. 495mm of rain at Katesbridge in Northern Ireland. 334mm of rain at Whitechurch in Wales. And 473mm of rain at Okehampton in England.

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Wettest places in each home nation with rainfall totals all well above average

The predominantly south-westerly winds over the next few weeks will bring in spells of rain and areas of low pressure from time to time.

The wettest weather is expected to be over western hills. That means a change of fortune in Scotland, where up to now it has been extremely wet in eastern Scotland but drier than normal in the west of the country.

The recent snowfall will also melt rapidly as temperatures rise.

Given saturated ground in many parts of the UK and flood warnings, mainly in England, the risk of flooding will remain a concern well in to March.

You can find the longer range forecast here.

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