Caminero, Grisham hit 30 HR? Turner steals 50? Don't be surprised

Each week successful MLB is its ain communicative -- afloat of surprises, some affirmative and antagonistic -- and phantasy managers indispensable determine what to judge and what not to judge moving forward. Perhaps we tin help. If immoderate of these thoughts travel true... don't beryllium surprised!

Tampa Bay Rays 3B Junior Caminero is posting solid, yet possibly overlooked phantasy numbers successful his archetypal afloat MLB season, ranking conscionable extracurricular the top-30 hitters successful some points and roto/categories formats with his 15 location runs and 41 RBI. The powerfulness is there, but helium besides leads the league successful 1 peculiarly dubious class -- and not a phantasy one, of course. We're talking astir the information he's grounded into 16 treble plays. What does this unusual operation archer us? Perhaps little, but determination are immoderate affirmative comparisons here.

Don't beryllium surprised... if Caminero ends up with 30 location runs and 30 GIDP

If so, Caminero would articulation rather the exclusive, noteworthy club. Only 4 players (Jim Rice, Dave Winfield, Tony Armas, Ivan Rodriguez) person deed 30 location runs successful the aforesaid play successful which they grounded into 30 treble plays. Rice, Winfield and Armas each "achieved" this feat successful 1983, which is unusual enough. Rice and Armas were Boston Red Sox teammates. Rodriguez did truthful for the 1999 Texas Rangers, Winfield for the New York Yankees.

Rice, Winfield and Rodriguez are successful the Hall of Fame. Nobody has provided 30 homers and 30 GIDP this century, though the large Albert Pujols came adjacent successful 2011, with 37 blasts and 29 GIDP. By the way, Pujols is headed to the Hall, too.

Caminero (like the others) is simply a right-handed powerfulness hitter with crushed shot tendencies and thing rather abbreviated of blazing speed. He is already rather the unsocial and peculiar player. He is conscionable 21. The champion is yet to come. If Caminero is anything similar Rice, Winfield, Rodriguez and Pujols? Wow, we surely volition instrumentality that successful fantasy.

Some spot him arsenic much of a Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vibe, and that's OK, too. There is truthful overmuch to similar with Caminero. He hits baseballs hard, often disconnected the barrel, and astatine a precocious complaint of contact. His locomotion complaint is among the lowest for qualifiers, but helium doesn't onslaught retired a lot. There is weirdness successful Caminero's numbers. He should deed left-handers overmuch amended than a .659 OPS -- and helium will. He should deed overmuch amended than a .566 OPS connected the roadworthy -- and helium will. His .250 BABIP (and it is .133 successful June) should emergence -- and it will.

Caminero is rostered successful 86% of ESPN modular leagues, extracurricular of the top-50 hitters and mode excessively low, worse than Los Angeles Dodgers OF/2B/SS Tommy Edman, Kansas City Royals 3B/2B Maikel Garcia and slumping Baltimore Orioles C Adley Rutschman. Why? OK, truthful Caminero whitethorn not look a points league favourite yet, not with a .249 batting mean and mundane locomotion rate, but he's astir apical 30 and the existent bully worldly is coming.

Add oregon commercialized for this pending 30-HR/100-RBI fellow, 1 with batting mean imaginable who whitethorn adjacent bargain double-digit bases. He volition not beryllium hitting .249 for long. Get him if you tin successful redraft leagues. In dynasty formats, he's an evident target.

Meanwhile, Guerrero, hitting .287 with 168 location runs and a 23.1 WAR done 7 seasons astatine hardly 26 years old, is connected a Hall of Fame track. He led the league by hitting into 26 treble plays successful 2022 and, with his 32 location runs that season, helium conscionable missed joining "the club." Guerrero's illustration has ever shown a precocious crushed shot rate, conscionable capable powerfulness to satiate the Blue Jays and america (except for the monster 48-HR 2021 campaign), and with a precocious interaction complaint and batting average. Guerrero draws walks and keeps a debased K rate.

Caminero whitethorn make similarly. The powerfulness is already there. Consistency is coming. And don't interest astir the treble plays. Hall of Famers bash that.

Don't beryllium surprised... if Yankees OF Trent Grisham hits 30 location runs

Now whitethorn look similar a omniscient clip for phantasy investors to leap disconnected the Grisham bandwagon. Grisham, a phantasy afterthought since possibly the 2021 season, figured to person small to bash connected the almighty Yankees. Then helium deed .292 with 8 location runs successful March/April, forcing himself into a cardinal lineup spot conscionable up of that Aaron Judge fellow. Grisham followed that blistery commencement up by hitting .225 successful May and, truthful acold successful June, helium is astatine .172. Ah, it was each bully portion it lasted, right?

However, determination are signs that Grisham isn't quite done yet. He's inactive drafting walks, inactive scoring runs (of people helium is, batting up of Judge) and metrics specified arsenic exit velocity and Barrels stay positive, adjacent this month. Grisham is slumping, but determination is small denotation helium volition suffer his invaluable lineup spot.

Keep investing. A .218 batting mean and .214 BABIP successful location games shouldn't past long, nor should a .169 BABIP arsenic a leadoff man. Grisham's pursuit complaint is fine. He astir apt needs to beryllium platooned (.302 slugging versus LHP), but that's OK. He's hammering right-handed pitching. He tin support hammering for different three-plus months.

Don't beryllium surprised... if Philadelphia Phillies SS Trea Turner steals 50 bases for the archetypal time

Turner, 31, stole his 19th basal of the play connected Wednesday, successful his 66th game. Last season, truncated by a hamstring wounded that outgo him six weeks, Turner stole 19 bases successful 121 games. It tends to beryllium existent that speedsters suffer velocity arsenic they deed their 30s, but Turner remains afloat capable. In fact, helium is connected gait for 46 steals, which would necktie his vocation best, acceptable successful 2017 with the Washington Nationals. While phantasy managers whitethorn similar the Turner who has surpassed 20 location runs successful 4 consecutive seasons, with diluted stolen basal totals from his younger days, that whitethorn beryllium changing.

The Bryce Harper (wrist) wounded seems to person ignited Turner's aggressiveness a bit, arsenic helium has swiped 5 bases implicit 10 June games. Challenged by manager Rob Thomson to scope basal more, origin much havoc erstwhile he's determination and people tons of runs, Turner is thriving. He is No. 9 connected the Player Rater (roto), tied for 18th among hitters (with Bobby Witt Jr.) successful points formats.

The emergence successful stolen basal complaint matters careless of phantasy format, but don't place the gait for 112 runs. That would people a vocation precocious arsenic well. Mourn the flimsy driblet successful powerfulness if you will, but a much invaluable subordinate whitethorn emerge, particularly if Harper's lack lasts longer than expected.

Don't beryllium surprised... if Chicago White Sox SP/RP Shane Smith finishes arsenic a top-30 phantasy SP

Nearly 100 starting pitchers are rostered successful much leagues than Smith, the Rule 5 enactment that Chicago plucked from the Milwaukee Brewers enactment past December. However, lone astir 40 starting pitchers fertile amended than Smith successful some points and roto formats. Something does not adhd up here. Smith whitethorn transportation successful obscurity for the unspeakable White Sox, but his 2.37 ERA ranks 13th successful shot and his 1.17 WHIP is 38th. He is tied for 50th successful strikeouts. And it each seems legit.

Smith, 25, was a Brewers 40-man roster casualty and the White Sox gobbled him up and person enjoyed his 13 starts truthful far. In fact, Smith has yet to licence much than 3 earned runs successful immoderate outing! He's the lone pitcher that tin boast this! Tarik Skubal can't accidental that, nor tin Paul Skenes.

Smith isn't overpowering hitters. He isn't going terribly heavy into games (seemingly by Chicago's design). Naturally, helium besides isn't winning overmuch for a last-place team. That said, consistency matters. How galore phantasy managers got caught by 1 of the atrocious Tanner Houck oregon Jesus Luzardo poundings? Smith's worst outing featured 3 earned runs.

Don't commercialized Freddie Freeman for Smith, of course. But wherefore is simply a feline with a 2.37 ERA successful mid-June inactive disposable successful astir 80% of ESPN modular leagues? It's a precise bully question.