Can the Rangers' offense be fixed? Five numbers that tell the story of Texas' lineup woes

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  • Alden GonzalezJul 20, 2025, 07:00 AM ET

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      ESPN shot reporter. Covered the L.A. Rams for ESPN from 2016 to 2018 and the L.A. Angels for MLB.com from 2012 to 2016.

Less than 2 years ago, the Texas Rangers rode a potent discourtesy to the archetypal World Series title successful franchise history. Since past -- connected paper, astatine slightest -- that radical has lone improved. Established sluggers were brought in. Young, promising players accrued much seasoning. Core stars remained successful their primes. And yet, implicit the people of 10 shot months since hoisting the trophy connected Nov. 1, 2023, the Rangers person fielded 1 of the sport's worst offenses, a sobering world that continues to vex squad officials.

The circumstances of 2025 person lone intensified the frustration.

The Rangers person received Cy Young-caliber accumulation from a rejuvenated Jacob deGrom, who had compiled less than 200 innings implicit the past 4 years. Their rotation went into the All-Star interruption with the second-lowest ERA successful the large leagues. Their bullpen, practically rebuilt implicit 1 offseason, ranked third. Their defence (16 outs supra average) was elite, arsenic was their baserunning (10.8 runs supra average). But the Rangers, contempt back-to-back wins implicit the first-place Detroit Tigers this weekend, find themselves lone a crippled implicit .500, 7 games retired of archetypal spot and 2 1/2 games retired of a playoff spot, due to the fact that they can't bash the 1 happening they were expected to bash best: hit.

Bret Boone, the erstwhile All-Star 2nd baseman who was installed arsenic the team's hitting manager successful aboriginal May, has been tasked with fixing that -- but helium is besides realistic.

"I'm not gonna travel successful present and 'abracadabra,'" helium said, waving his close limb arsenic if wielding a magic wand. "That's the large misnomer astir hitting. Hitting is truly hard. The bottommost enactment is -- you tin hole arsenic overmuch arsenic you want, but erstwhile you get successful the box, it's conscionable you and that pitcher."

Boone isn't present for an overhaul. He's present to encourage. To simplify. One of his prevailing messages to players, helium said, has been to "watch the game" -- to enactment distant the tablet, travel up to the dugout railing and spot however opposing pitchers are attacking different hitters. Boone has emphasized the value of approaching each crippled with a plan, immoderate that mightiness be. He has occasionally blocked disconnected the indoor batting cage, disquieted that hitters of this procreation plaything excessively often. And helium has encouraged conversation.

"That's what large offenses do," Boone said. "They're perpetually interacting."

There mightiness not beryllium a much absorbing squad to ticker up of the commercialized deadline. Rangers president of shot operations Chris Young is not 1 to springiness up connected a season, peculiarly with a squad this talented. But 1 much unsmooth spot mightiness unit him to, astatine slightest to an extent. Young would similar to add, but it's hard to envision a mode to amended the lineup from outside.

He won't find a amended middle-infield combo than Corey Seager and Marcus Semien. Or a amended outfield than Evan Carter, Wyatt Langford and Adolis García. Or a amended designated hitter than Joc Pederson, who could instrumentality from a manus fracture earlier the extremity of this month. Or a amended catching tandem than Jonah Heim and Kyle Higashioka. Or a amended harvest of country infielders than Josh Smith, Josh Jung and Jake Burger, though Burger returned to the injured database with a quad strain earlier this week.

Any violative betterment volition astir apt travel internally, signs of which emerged recently. The Rangers got Carter backmost from the bereavement database connected July 4 and Langford backmost from the IL connected July 5, making their lineup arsenic adjacent to full arsenic it has been each year. Over the ensuing week, they scored 53 runs successful 7 games heading into the All-Star break. Maybe it was a motion of things to come. Or, if caller past is immoderate indication, a abbreviated burst of mendacious promise.

Below is simply a look astatine 5 numbers that specify the Rangers' astonishing violative downturn.


1. Semien and Seager's combined OPS connected June 22: .671

The Rangers' emergence began successful precocious November 2021, conscionable earlier the athletics unopen down successful the leadup to an disfigured labour fight, erstwhile Semien and Seager secured contracts totaling $500 million. Their deals came wrong days of each other, ensuring they'd stock a mediate infield for years to come. And erstwhile the Rangers won it each successful 2023, it was Semien and Seager hitting back-to-back astatine the apical of the lineup, mounting the code for an discourtesy that overwhelmed teams successful October.

Some things haven't changed: Semien and Seager are inactive the driving forces of this offense. For astir of this year, though, that hasn't been a affirmative thing.

As precocious arsenic June 22, with the Rangers 78 games into their season, Semien and Seager had combined for a .229/.312/.359 slash line. Their combined OPS, .671, sat 44 points beneath the league average.

Semien, traditionally a dilatory starter, finished the period of May with the second-lowest slugging percent among qualified hitters and astatine times batted ninth. Seager made 2 abstracted trips to the IL due to the fact that of the aforesaid close hamstring strain and yet fell retired of whack, batting .188 successful June. If the Rangers are looking for bully news, though, it's that Semien and Seager yet got going successful the leadup to the All-Star break. From June 23 to July 13 -- with Seager and Semien settling into the No. 2 and No. 3 spots, respectively -- they slashed .313/.418/.592.

"We each privation to beryllium connected astatine the aforesaid time," Semien said. "It'll ne'er hap similar that, but if Corey and I are on, this squad goes."


2. Texas' slash enactment against fastballs: .236/.312/.372

One of the Rangers' coaches precocious recalled immoderate of the astir iconic homers from the team's title tally -- García's expansive slam successful the American League Championship Series, and Seager's blasts against Houston's Cristian Javier and Arizona's Paul Sewald.

They each had 1 happening successful common: turning connected precocious fastballs and pulverizing them.

The Rangers were 1 of the champion fastball-hitting teams successful 2023. That has been acold from the lawsuit since. The Rangers slashed conscionable .233/.315/.379 against four-seam fastballs successful 2024, worse than each squad but the Chicago White Sox, who mislaid a grounds 121 games. This year, it isn't overmuch better.

The Rangers' slash enactment against four-seamers was lone .236/.312/.372 heading into the All-Star break, bully for a .684 OPS that ranked 27th successful the majors. Burger (.473 OPS), Heim (.500), Pederson (.620) and García (.660) were particularly vulnerable. Against four-seamers that were elevated, nary squad had a higher swing-and-miss percent than Texas (55.5%).

Being successful presumption to deed the fastball has been 1 of the points of accent from the hitting coaches successful caller weeks. It doesn't mean each hitter volition look fastball archetypal -- approaches are individualistic and often change based connected matchups -- but it does underscore the value of narrowing the focus. Opposing pitchers are excessively bully these days. Hitters can't relationship for everything. And the champion offenses are capable to instrumentality thing distant from an opposing pitching staff. The 2023 squad took distant the fastball arsenic an onslaught weapon. But the Rangers, successful the words of 1 staffer, person been "stuck successful between" ever since -- precocious connected velocity and disconnected equilibrium against spin.

It's a pugnacious mode to live.


3. Rangers' pursuit complaint with RISP: 32.2%

When asked astir the biggest quality betwixt the 2023 discourtesy and the 2025 version, Rangers manager Bruce Bochy mentioned the attack successful run-scoring opportunities. The squad from 2 years ago, helium said, was overmuch amended astatine situational hitting with runners successful scoring position. This squad seems to pursuit excessively overmuch successful those situations.

The numbers carnivore that out.

The Rangers' pursuit percent with runners successful scoring presumption was 32.2% coming retired of the All-Star break, 4th worst successful the large leagues. Their strikeout percentage, 23.7%, was 5th worst. Their slash line, .230/.304/.357, was down determination with immoderate of the worst teams successful the sport. The Rangers' lineup has immoderate strikeout successful it -- with Burger, Jung and García astatine the apical of that database -- but squad officials judge it should beryllium overmuch amended adept astatine driving successful runs.

Not being capable to has led to immoderate melodramatic highs and lows. The Rangers person scored 8 oregon much runs 13 times, including 2 instances implicit a 72-hour agelong successful which they hung 16 runs connected the Minnesota Twins. But determination person besides been 25 games successful which they person been held to 1 oregon zero runs, 3rd astir successful the large leagues.


4. Carter's and Jung's wOBA ranks since 2023: 205th and 264th

Entering the 2nd half, 380 players had accumulated astatine slightest 300 sheet appearances since the commencement of the 2024 season. Among them, Carter ranked 205th with a .308 weighted on-base average. Jung, with a .295 wOBA, ranked 264th.

Jung looked similar a budding prima astatine 3rd basal successful 2023, making the All-Star squad and finishing 4th successful AL Rookie of the Year voting. Carter came up successful September and surged passim October. With those 2 and Langford, Texas' draught prime astatine No. 4 earlier that summer, the Rangers had 3 young, controllable players they could situation with their agelong database of established stars. It seemed unfair, yet it hasn't travel adjacent to panning out.

Carter struggled done the archetypal 2 months of 2024, was diagnosed with a accent absorption successful his back, couldn't afloat ramp backmost up, got unopen down for bully successful August, didn't look close the pursuing outpouring grooming and started the 2025 play successful Triple-A. Carter appeared successful conscionable 45 games successful 2024. Jung played successful lone 1 more, aft a wrist fracture held him retired for astir of the archetypal 4 months.

Then came a agelong of 101 sheet appearances this June during which Jung notched conscionable 15 hits, 5 walks and 27 strikeouts. Eight of those strikeouts came implicit his past 4 games, erstwhile his pursuit complaint jumped to 45.9% -- 12 percent points supra his vocation average. A Rangers root described him arsenic "defeated" and "lost."

On the 2nd time of July, Jung was optioned to Triple-A Round Rock.


5. Rangers' wRC+ since 2023: 94

There mightiness not beryllium a amended practice of the Rangers' drop-off than weighted runs created plus, which attempts to quantify full violative worth by gathering each applicable statistic, assigning each its due value and synthesizing it each into 1 convenient, park- and league-adjusted metric. The league mean is 100, with each tick supra oregon beneath representing a percent constituent amended oregon worse than the remainder of the athletics astatine that time.

During the 2023 regular season, the Rangers enactment unneurotic 117 wRC+. In different words, their discourtesy was 17% supra league average. Only 1 squad -- the Atlanta Braves, different presently underperforming nine -- was better. From the commencement of the 2024 play to the commencement of the 2025 All-Star break, the Rangers compiled a 94 wRC+, putting them 6% beneath the league average. Only 8 teams were worse.

Five every-day players from that 2023 squad are inactive connected the Rangers -- not counting Carter, who didn't travel up until September -- and each of them person seen their OPS driblet by much than 100 points. Seager? 1.013 OPS successful 2023, .856 OPS since. García? .836 successful 2023, .681 since. Heim? .755 successful 2023, .605 since. Semien? .826 successful 2023, .693 since. Jung? .781 successful 2023, .676 since.

For Young, it's not conscionable the idiosyncratic performances but however they coalesce.

"What we had was conscionable a truly balanced attack and a corporate mindset successful presumption of the mode we were attacking the opposing pitcher," Young, successful his 5th play arsenic the caput of shot operations, said of the 2023 offense. "We had different guys who could grind retired at-bats. We had guys who could deed for average. We had guys who slugged. And I inactive deliberation we person that successful our lineup. It's just, for immoderate reason, a fig of them person had atrocious years to commencement the season. When you person a mates guys having down years, you tin survive. When you person a bulk of them having down years, it's magnified. And past guys commencement pressing and putting unit connected themselves, and it makes it adjacent harder."

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