Diamonds in the rough: Late-round gems of the 2025 NHL draft

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  • Rachel DoerrieJun 20, 2025, 07:00 AM ET

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      Rachel Doerrie is simply a nonrecreational information advisor specializing successful information connection and modelling. She's worked successful the NHL and consulted for nonrecreational teams crossed North American and Europe. She hosts the Staff & Graph Podcast and discusses sports from a data-driven perspective.

There are late-round gems successful each NHL draught people that spell connected to person impactful careers. With the summation successful scouting sum and analytics, teams bash a amended occupation of drafting those players earlier, but inevitably, a fewer of these late-round diamonds successful the unsmooth emerge.

Gone are the days of getting Pavel Datsyuk, Henrik Lundqvist oregon Brett Hull successful the precocious rounds. However, smaller players who person accomplishment look to beryllium drafted overmuch later. The reigning Calder Trophy victor Lane Hutson is hardly a late-round prime -- helium went 62nd wide successful 2022 -- but helium should've been selected a lot earlier.

Some caller late-round gems see Troy Terry (No. 148 successful 2015), Andrew Mangiapane (No. 166, 2015), Jesper Bratt (No. 162, 2016), Brandon Hagel (No. 159, 2016) and Mark Stone (No. 178, 2010). There were concerns astir each of them successful the draught process, whether it was size, skating oregon questions astir the translatability of their crippled to the NHL. But each has acold exceeded their draught expectations and gone connected to correspond their state connected the planetary stage. Your draught slot does not marque oregon interruption you. The earlier picks volition get much chances portion the aboriginal picks person to gain their looks, but determination is simply a pathway to success.

The communal denominator successful a late-round pick's occurrence is that they are elite successful astatine slightest 1 category; oregon arsenic 1 NHL enforcement enactment it, "they person a separating accomplishment that differentiates them from others."

This year, determination are a fewer players who whitethorn extremity up arsenic the diamonds successful the rough. Generally speaking, a subordinate drafted aft the 3rd circular has a little than 3% accidental of playing 200 games successful the NHL, which means it is apt that lone 4 oregon 5 players drafted aft prime No. 96 volition marque it. There is simply a little than 1.5% accidental of that subordinate becoming an interaction player, goaltenders not included. The darts astatine the committee are worthy throwing, but a fewer players successful this people person separating skills that whitethorn springiness them a amended chance.


Cameron Schmidt, RW, Vancouver Giants (WHL)

While Schmidt is rated overmuch higher successful nationalist rankings -- and remained a first-rounder successful those rankings for the bulk of the play -- NHL teams with which I spoke bash not presumption him successful the aforesaid light. Many scouts judge Schmidt volition beryllium selected betwixt the 3rd and 5th rounds due to the fact that he's overmuch smaller than the mean NHL subordinate astatine 5-foot-7.

Still, Schmidt's ceiling arsenic a second-line scoring winger successful the vein of Alex Debrincat should excite teams. It is understandable that teams would beryllium hesitant to prime a subordinate of his stature with an aboriginal prime due to the fact that of the rarity of occurrence for subordinate shorter than 5-9. Schmidt is arguably the fastest subordinate successful the draft, with an elite shot. He has much than 1 "separating skill" that scouts look for, with 1 opining that if helium were 6-1, helium whitethorn beryllium successful the speech for being picked successful the 10-15 range.

Netting 40 goals successful 61 games makers him 1 of the champion extremity scorers disposable successful the draft. He tin people aggregate ways; disconnected the unreserved successful stride, connected one-timers, by net-front finishing and a creaseless but almighty drawback and release. There is simply a precocious likelihood that Schmidt leads the CHL successful goals implicit the adjacent 2 seasons with his separating velocity and well-rounded finishing ability.

Debrincat is 5-8, and if Schmidt grows to that tallness oregon adjacent 5-9, there's a existent accidental helium becomes a reliable goal-scorer astatine the NHL level. Instead of drafting for physicality and size, taking a accidental that idiosyncratic grows who already possesses elite endowment could beryllium precise rewarding for a team.


Jacob Rombach, D, Lincoln Stars (USHL)

A defenseman who is astir 6-7 with punishing carnal traits and the imaginable to go a shutdown defender volition beryllium precise charismatic to teams. Rombach lacks a batch of the violative accomplishment that teams similar to spot successful their top-end defenseman, but determination is simply a existent way to becoming a No. 4/5 defender successful the NHL.

Defensively, helium possesses 1 of the astir implicit accomplishment sets successful the draft, which volition lone amended arsenic helium refines those skills. He has awesome puck-retrieval ability, scanning for threats and allowing him to pre-emptively flight unit situations. He employs caput fakes to shingle forecheckers, and makes a elemental and businesslike walk erstwhile the lane opens.

When defending, helium uses his framework to disrupt plays connected the rush, termination plays connected the partition and makes it hard for teams to make disconnected the cycle. He isn't overly physical, and portion that is easy developable astatine his size, scouts similar that helium doesn't get caught retired of presumption trying to marque a large hit. When helium closes gaps connected players each implicit the ice, helium leads with a beardown instrumentality and smothers them, forcing turnovers oregon dump-ins.

If his skating and physicality improve, Rombach has the instrumentality kit to beryllium an effectual shutdown defender who tin termination penalties and play secondary matchups.


David Bedkowski, D, Oshawa Generals (OHL)

The old-school hockey types emotion Bedkowski due to the fact that helium loves physicality. He is simply a throwback successful the consciousness that helium lives for the violence. A menacing defenseman astatine astir 6-5 and 215 pounds, Bedkowski is the astir punishing defender successful the draught class. While that doesn't ever equate to NHL success, the Florida Panthers' blueprint volition surely person executives reasoning astir Bedkowski's quality to play highly effectual modulation defence portion inflicting important symptom connected opponents with his carnal play.

He is 1 of the champion zone-entry defenders successful the draught class, and if helium tin prime his spots a small amended successful presumption of stepping up to marque contact, determination is simply a way to becoming an effectual bottom-pair defender.

His ceiling isn't precocious successful presumption of becoming a No. 4/5 guy, but teams request extent and brute unit to triumph successful the playoffs, and Bedkowski whitethorn make into a defenseman who tin reliably supply that.


Viktor Klingsell, LW, Skelleftea AIK (J20)

Another campaigner to beryllium a bargain successful the aboriginal rounds is satellite under-18 championships standout Klingsell. He didn't nutrient astatine the level Jesper Bratt did successful Sweden, but helium outperformed Bratt erstwhile playing against his peers. Given the similarity successful height, the high-end playmaking and vision, it isn't astonishing to spot immoderate judge Klingsell could beryllium a "Bratt lite" successful the NHL. He lacks physicality -- which isn't peculiarly astonishing fixed his stature -- but his instincts and violative instrumentality kit are amongst the champion disposable among European skaters.

The main interest is his pace. Klingsell has a boom-or-bust benignant of profile. If helium hits, he'll beryllium a second-line violative facilitator who notches 50-plus assists each year. If helium doesn't, he's apt to go a precise bully SHL player. That is the benignant of plaything you instrumentality successful the aboriginal rounds, particularly erstwhile velocity is the concern. But it is overmuch easier to make skating and velocity than it is to find a subordinate with the earthy violative instincts and playmaking capabilities that Klingsell possesses.


Filip Ekberg, LW, Ottawa 67's (OHL)

Another Swede with a accidental to marque a squad precise blessed is dual-threat guardant Ekberg. The archetypal fractional of the play was plagued by unwellness and a constricted role. As the calendar flipped, Ekberg's play took off, culminating successful a standout show astatine the U18s, wherever helium tallied 18 points successful 7 games and earned himself an invitation to Sweden's World Junior summertime team.

There is existent crushed to judge Ekberg is connected the cusp of a large scoring breakout successful the OHL that would vault his projection to a middle-six scorer astatine the NHL level.

Ekberg is simply a well-rounded guardant anticipates and reads the play, facilitates discourtesy and owns an fantabulous drawback and release. He lacks dynamism that you'd similar to see, but showed morganatic flashes of quality erstwhile steadfast astatine the U18s. If helium tin amended his skating, helium has each the hallmarks of a smaller subordinate who tin win successful the NHL, successful a secondary scoring and power-play role.


Aidan Lane, RW, Saint Andrew's College/Brampton Steelheads (OHL)

If not for a standout show successful the OHL astatine the extremity of the season, Lane's NHL projection would not exist. The CHL/NCAA regularisation alteration allowed the Saint Andrew's College postgraduate to play the last 13 games successful Brampton, wherever helium tallied a constituent per game.

It is precise hard to task prep schoolhouse players, arsenic determination is constricted illustration size. However, the high-motor winger looked each spot the portion successful a top-six relation for Brampton. He has a accidental to go a powerfulness winger successful the bottommost six astatine the NHL level, with his strength, physicality and his quality to make offense.

He was creaseless successful transition, was capable to gully defenders to him and marque affirmative worth plays. He was besides capable to usage his carnal bundle to overpower seasoned OHL players. Lane has the motor, carnal tools and displayed promising violative tools that could marque him a precocious worth prime beyond the 4th round. His velocity and explosiveness volition request to amended if helium is to efficaciously usage his tools to forecheck and make offence successful a secondary relation astatine the NHL level.

Given his chosen way to play successful the NCAA astatine Harvard, helium volition person plentifulness of clip to make against the champion amateur competition.


L.J. Mooney, RW, USNTDP (USHL)

Another diminutive winger, Mooney is 1 of my idiosyncratic favorites successful the draught class. He's a dynamic skater and gets fans retired of their seats with his puck handling skill. At 5-7, possessing aggregate separating skills should beryllium capable for a squad to instrumentality a accidental connected him successful the mediate rounds.

He's a non-stop subordinate who is perpetually drafting the viewer's eye. His blistering velocity is instantly noticeable, particularly erstwhile combined with fantastic puck skill. There is existent imaginable for him to go a modulation nightmare for defenders. For that to happen, Mooney volition request to amended his quality to facilitate discourtesy and work the play. He needs to utilize his elite skating and puck accomplishment to onslaught the mediate of the crystal to make high-danger scoring chances.

Given his size and questions astir playmaking ability, he's adjacent to a boom-or-bust player. However, galore players with that accomplishment level bash not person the centrifugal and interior thrust to compete. Mooney does not permission immoderate doubts astir his volition to vie fixed his fearless play, accordant pace, and willingness to play some sides of the puck.

If a squad has aggregate second- oregon third-round picks and lacks a dynamic skater, arsenic good arsenic idiosyncratic who could beryllium a morganatic contributor -- the Philadelphia Flyers, Montreal Canadiens and Detroit Red Wings are successful this vessel -- Mooney is simply a worthy a shot.

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