2 months ago
14
Though Kamala Harris is leading over Donald Trump by a small margin nationally, the latest polls from the New York Times and Sienna College reveal that Donald Trump is doing better across the Sun Belt -- Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina -- because voters do believe that the former president improved their live during his previous term.
Going by the latest figures, Trump has gained a lead in Arizona and is ahead in Georgia -- the two states that he lost to Joe Biden in 2020.
In North Carolina, the gap between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is narrow.
Arizona
Biden won this battleground state by just over 10,400 votes in 2020. If the 2024 presidential election is held today, 50 per cent would vote for Trump and 45 per cent for Kamala Harris. But the situation was not like this in August. A A Times/ Sienna poll in August found Kamala Harris leading by five percentage points. Latino voters seemingly moved away from Harris and are now undecided, the NYT report said.
North Carolina
Trump won North Carolina by under 75,000 votes in 2020. Now Trump has a slim lead over Kamala Harris -- 49 per cent to 47 per cent. NYT said the poll was, however, conducted before reports of Mark Robinson making unsavory comments on a porn site in past emerged. Some Republicans feel the Mark Robinson episode could hurt Trump in North Carolina.
Georgia
Biden won Georgia by just under 11,800 votes in 2020. But Trump continues to have a slight lead over Kamala Harris -- 49 per cent to 45 per cent.
Interestingly, about 15 per cent of the electorate in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina described themselves as undecided or not definitely decided, leaving room that they could still change their minds. This is the same group that leaned towards Kamala Harris in August but is now showing indication of slight leaning towards Trump.
Why voters are undecided
"Far fewer of the undecided or persuadable voters cited concerns about Ms Harris’s behavior, though 16 per cent had concerns about her judgment and personality, and 12 per cent spoke of concerns about her honesty and follow-through. Notably, 12 per cent of these voters who said they could still change their mind said their biggest concern about Ms. Harris was around her handling of the economy," NYT said.
