From Chase to London, ranking the most reliable TD scorers among WRs

Earlier this month, Tristan H. Cockcroft and I ranked the most reliable touchdown scorers astatine the moving backmost position utilizing goal-line data, subordinate traits, strategy and more. So, wherefore not travel the aforesaid publication -- analyzing situational statics and crippled portion -- with our eyes connected the wide receivers champion astatine uncovering the extremity zone?

In 2024, 8 receivers posted double-digit touchdown receptions, and 20 produced 8 oregon more. The top-four phantasy wide receivers successful PPR formats had astatine slightest 10 touchdown grabs each. Getting six points? It matters.

Today, I'll springiness you my projected top-10 touchdown scorers astatine the wide receiver presumption for the 2025 season, with 5 much who are connected the fringe of making the cut.

1. Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals: Chase led the NFL with 17 receiving touchdowns successful 2024, and the measurement helium sees successful scoring situations boosts his phantasy profile. Chase caught 7 of a league-high 19 extremity portion targets and saw 35 reddish portion targets, besides the astir of immoderate wide receiver. Chase tin make explosive plays astatine each 3 levels of the tract with his vertical quality and almighty catch-and-run traits. In a pass-heavy Bengals discourtesy with Joe Burrow throwing the ball, Chase volition proceed to get his looks this season. There's a crushed helium is the statement No. 1 prime successful mock drafts this summer.

2. Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Evans volition crook 32 this August, but helium is inactive precocious connected my database due to the fact that of his matchup quality successful the reddish zone. Evans, who had 11 touchdown receptions past season, caught 9 of 16 extremity portion targets. He has a full of 25 touchdowns connected extremity portion throws implicit his past 3 seasons. The frame, the play strength, the drawback radius, the quickness -- those traits amusement up consistently connected slice throws and slants erstwhile the shot is connected the doorstep of the extremity zone, and Evans volition stay a onslaught portion people (20- to 35-yard line) for Baker Mayfield, which keeps him successful the WR2 scope for this coming season.

3. Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions: A speedy separator connected abbreviated to intermediate concepts, St. Brown saw 15 goal-to-go targets successful 2024, the 2nd astir successful the league, catching 9 of his 12 touchdowns connected debased reddish portion throws. St. Brown's alignment and strategy versatility shows present too, arsenic helium tin people disconnected screens, flats and isolation routes. With 28 touchdowns implicit his past 3 seasons, 4th astir successful the NFL, and shot bearer toughness aft the catch, St. Brown volition proceed to people successful a passing discourtesy that volition stay explosive and heavy schemed nether caller coordinator John Morton. St. Brown remains a first-round people successful 10- to 12-team leagues.

4. Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings: The league's champion way runner, Jefferson has mastered the trade of mounting up coverage, utilizing his velocity and little assemblage power to slither successful and retired of cuts. Jefferson had 18 extremity portion targets past season, the 2nd astir successful the league, and his 25 reddish portion targets ranked third. Jefferson tin abstracted and decorativeness connected slot fades, and we cognize his quality to shingle escaped connected in-breakers and pivots leads to touchdown production, arsenic helium totaled 23 implicit his past 3 seasons successful Minnesota. The Vikings are transitioning to backmost J.J. McCarthy this season, but successful Kevin O'Connell's QB-friendly scheme, the second-year passer volition beryllium acceptable up to present the shot to his No.1 target. And Jefferson volition get open.

5. Terry McLaurin, Washington Commanders: McLaurin's touchdown numbers jumped past play with the accomplishment of backmost Jayden Daniels. After seeing a full of 19 extremity portion targets from 2022 to 2023, McLaurin caught 10 of 14 successful 1024 and finished the play with 13 touchdown grabs, 2nd astir successful the league. The speedy slants connected the extremity line, the crossers and the second-reaction throws from Daniels added up. Plus, McLaurin tin get down the tract arsenic a heavy target. That's three-level foodstuff here. McLaurin tin beryllium considered a regression campaigner aft his abrupt boost successful numbers -- I get that. But aft going backmost done his portion and considering the wide acceptable successful the discourtesy with Daniels making throws, I judge McLaurin tin beryllium 1 of the apical touchdown scorers again this season.

6. CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys: After helium caught 12 scores successful 2023, Lamb's touchdown numbers slipped past play (six TD receptions) arsenic backmost Dak Prescott missed the last 9 games due to the fact that of a hamstring injury. With a steadfast Prescott backmost nether halfway this season, however, I expect Lamb to station high-end WR1 numbers, including successful his way deployment and reddish portion production. Since 2022, Lamb has caught 16 touchdowns connected extremity portion targets, the 5th astir successful the league, and helium has 27 TDs during that span. A slot people with extracurricular flex, Lamb tin supply foodstuff arsenic a large play enactment aft logging 12 touchdown receptions of 20 yards oregon much implicit his past 3 seasons. He tin shingle escaped implicit the apical and usage his shot bearer imaginativeness to triumph successful space.

7. Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars: Thomas has blue-chip imaginable successful the Jags' violative strategy nether caller manager Liam Coen. As a rookie successful 2024, Thomas had 10 touchdowns, tied for sixth astir successful the NFL with Jefferson and Tee Higgins, and caught six of 12 extremity portion targets. Powerful and explosive retired of the slot, with field-stretching quality from aggregate alignments (four touchdowns connected throws of 20 oregon much yards), Thomas showed difference-making quality connected tape. We cognize a steadfast -- and accordant -- Trevor Lawrence is captious to Thomas' accumulation this season. Sure. But don't discount Thomas' endowment successful an discourtesy that tin maximize his matchup traits arsenic a versatile, multilevel playmaker. And that creates a batch of visits to the extremity zone.

8. Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals: Harrison didn't person the numbers we expected successful his rookie season, but the opportunities were determination for the Ohio State product. Harrison saw 17 extremity portion targets (tied for 3rd most) and cashed successful connected seven, finishing the play with 8 touchdown grabs. Plus, Harrison had 14 receptions of 20 oregon much yards. There is big-play quality here. Harrison added size to his framework this offseason, which volition assistance him play done interaction and triumph connected contested catches successful the extremity zone. The Cardinals tin besides strategy much for Harrison successful the debased reddish zone, arsenic helium had lone 4 goal-to-goal targets successful 2024 (accounting for 2 touchdowns). The traits are determination for Harrison to physique disconnected his rookie tape. And I spot imaginable for Harrison to station breakout numbers -- and double-digit touchdown receptions -- successful his 2nd pro season.

9. Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins: Despite a down twelvemonth statistically successful 2024, erstwhile Hill caught lone six touchdowns, helium inactive saw measurement connected scoring opportunities (14 extremity portion targets), and helium has 26 TDs implicit the past 3 seasons, including 15 scores connected throws of 20 oregon much yards (tied for 2nd successful the league). Fast stays fast, and Hill tin agelong the tract successful a hurry oregon make aft the drawback to nutrient touchdown plays. Yes, Hill's 2025 outlook is tied to the wellness of Miami backmost Tua Tagovailoa successful Mike McDaniel's offense. Timing and bushed concepts are key. Tagovailoa played successful lone 11 games past season, but erstwhile helium started each 17 matchups successful 2023, Hill finished with 13 touchdowns. Remember, adjacent astatine property 31, Hill is simply a burner. He tin go, now. And I'm looking for a bounce-back twelvemonth for a subordinate with an ADP of WR13.

10. Drake London, Atlanta Falcons: London had a vocation precocious 9 touchdown receptions successful 2024, catching six of 15 extremity portion targets and seeing 11 goal-to-go targets. London has the carnal illustration of a premier reddish portion enactment too, with the enactment flexibility to make some antheral and portion matchups. Press the seams versus single-high portion retired of the slot, drawback the spell routes connected the bound and triumph the one-on-ones against antheral sum astatine the extremity line. This Falcons discourtesy volition get a bump successful the walk crippled with second-year backmost Michael Penix Jr. nether center, and London should payment arsenic the apical enactment successful scoring position. He's a fringe WR1 who could marque the leap into the apical 5 astatine the presumption if the touchdown numbers proceed rising.

Five much who could deed double-digit touchdowns this season

Malik Nabers, New York Giants: Nabers scored 8 touchdowns and saw 11 extremity portion targets arsenic rookie -- with subpar backmost play successful New York. Russell Wilson is expected to spell into this play arsenic the No.1, but Nabers could payment adjacent much if (or when) the squad turns the discourtesy implicit to rookie Jaxson Dart.

Nico Collins, Houston Texans: The apical people for C.J. Stroud successful Houston, Collins tin usage his carnal illustration successful the reddish zone, and helium has the heavy shot quality to make explosiveness down the field. Collins has 15 touchdowns implicit his past 2 seasons.

A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles' run-heavy attack successful the debased reddish portion could bounds Brown's touchdown output, but determination is nary 1 amended playing done interaction astatine each 3 levels of the field. And the slot slice with Brown creates matchup issues.

Davante Adams, Los Angeles Rams: Adams scored 8 touchdowns with the Jets and Raiders past season, and astatine property 32 helium is inactive 1 of the champion separators disconnected the enactment of scrimmage. Adams volition play the No. 2 relation successful L.A. other Puka Nacua, but the strategy acceptable and expected deployment successful Sean McVay's discourtesy volition make scoring opportunities.

Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos: Sutton caught 8 of 17 extremity portion targets past season, and the Broncos' discourtesy has the players to beryllium 1 of the league's astir explosive units nether manager Sean Payton.