Introducing the Class of 2025: Why Ichiro, Sabathia and Wagner are Hall of Famers

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  • David SchoenfieldJul 27, 2025, 07:00 AM ET

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    • Covers MLB for ESPN.com
    • Former lawman exertion of Page 2
    • Been with ESPN.com since 1995

Editor's note: This communicative primitively ran connected Jan. 22, 2025. The Class of 2025 is being inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame connected July 27, 2025.

Welcome to the Hall of Fame, Ichiro Suzuki, CC Sabathia and Billy Wagner. It's a singular accomplishment to past the gauntlet of shot writers to get elected to Cooperstown: After all, the Baseball Hall of Fame remains the toughest to summation introduction to, particularly via the BBWAA way of election.

This trio stands retired for their disparate backgrounds. Suzuki -- let's conscionable telephone him Ichiro -- grew up successful Japan, of course, and was a prima successful the Japan Pacific League astatine 20 years aged earlier becoming the archetypal Japanese presumption subordinate to play successful the majors erstwhile helium signed with the Seattle Mariners successful 2001 astatine 27. A California native, Sabathia was a precocious schoolhouse shot and hoops prima successful the Bay Area, increasing to a towering 6-foot-6 and throwing 95 mph. Cleveland drafted him successful the archetypal round, and helium was successful the majors astatine 20 years old. Wagner grew up successful agrarian Virginia and played astatine Division III Ferrum College. He wasn't big, but his fastball was. The Houston Astros drafted Wagner successful the archetypal round, and helium debuted astatine property 24 earlier turning into 1 of the astir ascendant alleviation pitchers of each time.

All 3 are present Hall of Famers. Let's look astatine 3 reasons each subordinate got there.


Why Ichiro Suzuki is simply a Hall of Famer

Ichiro was conscionable 1 ballot shy of becoming the 2nd unanimous enactment (Mariano Rivera did it successful 2019). In 1 sense, possibly it's a small astonishing helium had that galore votes -- you could reason Ichiro is possibly a small overrated. After all, helium had 60.0 vocation WAR successful the majors; Bobby Abreu, by comparison, was connected this ballot with 60.2 vocation WAR and received conscionable 26% of the vote. Ichiro's vocation 107 OPS+ is present the 3rd lowest for immoderate Hall of Fame outfielder, up of lone Lloyd Waner and 19th-century speedster Tommy McCarthy. So wherefore Ichiro?

1. 3,000 vocation hits

OK, Ichiro was mostly a singles hitter, not hitting for overmuch powerfulness with a vocation precocious of 15 location runs successful a season, but helium turned beating retired infield singles and grounding basal hits up the mediate into an creation form. He reached 200 hits his archetypal 10 seasons with the Mariners, starring the league successful 7 of those years. Over the past 10 seasons, each large leaguers person combined for conscionable 17 200-hit seasons -- and the champion of those was Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 217 hits successful 2023, a full Ichiro exceeded 5 times, including a grounds 262 successful 2004, a play helium deed .372 (nobody has deed for arsenic precocious an mean since).

Considering helium didn't debut with the Mariners until his age-27 season, it remains singular that Ichiro is 1 of conscionable 33 players with 3,000 hits. The different 32 averaged 994 hits done their age-26 season, with Wade Boggs' 531 hits the lowest successful the group. Of those to debut aft 1930, each who are eligible for the Hall of Fame and not tainted by a betting oregon PED ungraded were voted successful connected the archetypal ballot but Craig Biggio (who took 3 tries to get elected). Getting to 3,000 hits made Ichiro an automatic selection.

Two keys to Ichiro's deed total: his singular durability and the information that helium didn't locomotion overmuch (which is wherefore helium had a .400 OBP conscionable erstwhile successful his career). He averaged a singular 159 games played done his archetypal 12 seasons, suffering conscionable 1 insignificant stint connected the injured database implicit that span. The show of Ichiro perpetually stretching betwixt pitches and successful the outfield is arsenic overmuch a portion of his lasting representation arsenic him sprinting down the first-base enactment oregon racing into the country to marque different spectacular catch.

2. He was an inner-circle Hall of Fame talent

The earlier examination to Abreu mightiness suggest that Ichiro is simply a borderline Hall of Fame player. That belief, however, underestimates however transcendent Ichiro was astatine his highest -- and that 7 of his highest seasons came successful Japan earlier helium signed with the Mariners. While voters are voting connected Ichiro's accomplishments successful lone the large leagues, it seems just to astatine slightest admit that we witnessed lone a information of his greatness.

Consider this: In his archetypal 4 seasons successful the majors, from 2001 to 2004, Ichiro deed .339 and averaged 6.5 WAR per season. In Japan, Ichiro was a sensation close away, hitting .385 successful his archetypal afloat season, arsenic bully astatine property 20 arsenic his last play successful Japan, erstwhile helium deed .387. We tin frankincense presume helium would person produced akin results successful MLB from ages 20 to 26 arsenic helium did from 27 to 30. That adds up to an further 45 WAR -- connected apical of the 60 that Baseball-Reference credits him during his clip successful the majors.

How awesome would 105 vocation WAR be? Since the enlargement epoch successful 1961, lone six presumption players person reached 100 vocation WAR: Barry Bonds, Alex Rodriguez, Rickey Henderson, Mike Schmidt, Albert Pujols and Joe Morgan. This suggests Ichiro belongs connected that level of inner-circle appreciation.

Much of his worth came from his all-around brilliance connected the bases and arsenic a close fielder (he won 10 Gold Gloves). Baseball-Reference credits him with plus-62 runs arsenic a baserunner (18th each time) and plus-121 runs connected defence (18th among outfielders). He had 2 of the astir businesslike base-stealing seasons of each time, going 45-for-47 successful 2006 and 43-for-47 successful 2008, positive helium led the league with 56 steals successful his MVP/Rookie of the Year play of 2001. As a close fielder, Ichiro combined impeccable instincts with a beardown and close arm. He excelled astatine charging the shot rapidly and preventing runners from advancing, and helium ne'er seemed to marque a mistake successful the tract -- indeed, helium was charged with lone 38 errors successful 19 seasons.

So, yes, Ichiro was overrated arsenic a hitter. But his all-around skills and highest show correctly enactment him successful a people among the elite of the elite.

3. Come on, helium was Ichiro -- an icon

In the end, sometimes "Hall of Famer" doesn't request an argument; it's conscionable a statement to explicate the obvious: Ichiro is simply a Hall of Famer, nary substance what the numbers bash oregon don't say. Who was cooler than Ichiro wearing his shades, pointing his bat astatine the pitcher successful his pre-pitch ritual and past tugging astatine his close sleeve. Early successful his archetypal period successful the majors, Mariners announcer Dave Niehaus made an instant fable of Ichiro with his statement of his celebrated propulsion to nail Terrence Long astatine 3rd base: "I'm present to archer you that Ichiro threw thing retired of Star Wars down determination astatine 3rd base!" Ichiro was a throwback to a antithetic epoch of hitting. He was a trailblazer. An implicit 1 of a kind. Unanimous? He surely should person been.


Why CC Sabathia is simply a Hall of Famer

Sabathia finished 251-161 with a 3.74 ERA, 61.8 WAR and a Cy Young Award with Cleveland successful 2007. None of those numbers needfully shriek first-ballot Hall of Famer and, indeed, lone Sandy Koufax has a little vocation WAR among starting pitchers elected connected their archetypal ballot. Here's however Sabathia made it.

1. A precocious highest level of performance

Sabathia had a five-year tally from 2007 done 2011 successful which helium went 95-40 with a 3.09 ERA and 30.4 WAR portion averaging 240 innings per season, which present seems similar a Herculean workload. He won the 1 Cy Young Award and finished successful the apical 5 of the voting successful the different 4 seasons. During those seasons, lone Roy Halladay had a higher WAR among pitchers -- and determination was a large spread from Sabathia to Cliff Lee, the No. 3 feline who had 25.0 WAR -- and cipher won much games.

Along the way, Sabathia famously carried the Milwaukee Brewers into the playoffs successful 2008 -- their archetypal playoff quality astatine the clip since 1982 -- starting connected 3 days' remainder for his last 3 starts, including tossing a playoff-clinching implicit crippled connected the last time of the season. The adjacent year, helium signed with the New York Yankees and led them to a World Series title, going 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA successful the postseason.

Sabathia fits into much of an old-school explanation of a Hall of Famer: Was helium the champion astatine his presumption for an extended play of time? His 251 wins are the aforesaid arsenic Bob Gibson and much than prime Hall of Famers specified arsenic Juan Marichal, Whitey Ford, Pedro Martinez oregon Don Drysdale. Those guys each felt similar Hall of Famers, arsenic did Sabathia. And helium did capable astir that highest -- six different seasons with astatine slightest 3 WAR and appearing successful 10 antithetic postseasons -- to merit selection.

2. The champion of a generation

Indeed, Sabathia stands retired on with Halladay (who was elected posthumously successful 2019) arsenic the span betwixt the Martinez/Randy Johnson/Greg Maddux/Tom Glavine/John Smoltz radical to the still-active trio of Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer and Clayton Kershaw, who came on a fewer years aft Sabathia. Verlander has 262 wins, but Scherzer has 216 and is petering out. Kershaw has 212 and is coming disconnected a two-win 2024 season. Zack Greinke finished with 225 wins. Even Halladay finished with conscionable 203 wins.

Other than Andy Pettitte, who debuted six years earlier Sabathia and won 256 games, and Sabathia's erstwhile teammate Bartolo Colon, who won 247, different pitchers from Sabathia's procreation didn't past agelong capable for Hall consideration: Johan Santana had an astonishing highest but won conscionable 139 games; Felix Hernandez was connected the ballot for the archetypal clip and received capable votes to enactment on, but his past bully play came astatine property 29; and Cliff Lee won 143 games and got injured. There are immoderate different 200-game winners -- Tim Hudson (off the ballot) and Mark Buehrle (still on) -- but Sabathia was the rarity of his generation, combining some highest worth and longevity.

3. Timing is everything

Sabathia's ballot full was, nary doubt, helped by the wide weakness of this ballot, wherever lone Ichiro was a slam-dunk candidate. Voters want to ballot players in, truthful successful a sense, candidates are compared arsenic overmuch to the different players connected the ballot arsenic to Hall of Fame standards. If Sabathia was connected the ballot successful 2015 -- a ballot that included Johnson, Martinez, Smoltz, Curt Schilling, Roger Clemens and Mike Mussina -- helium doesn't get in. But his "competition" connected this ballot was the aforementioned Pettitte, Buehrle and Hernandez (the lone different starting pitchers adjacent connected the ballot). This isn't to sound Sabathia's accomplishments, but it's a information of Hall of Fame voting results: The ballot itself matters. It took Mussina, with 270 wins and 82.8 vocation WAR, six times to get elected due to the fact that helium faced a batch of crowded ballots. This ballot was not crowded.


Why Billy Wagner is simply a Hall of Famer

On his 10th and last quality connected the BBWAA ballot, Wagner yet made it successful aft falling 5 votes abbreviated past year. He debuted with conscionable 10.5% of the ballot successful 2016, truthful wherefore now?

1. Once again ... timing is everything

As with Sabathia, a batch of it came down to timing. Wagner's archetypal ballot successful 2016 included 11 different players who are present Hall of Famers -- positive Clemens, Schilling, Barry Bonds, Jeff Kent and Gary Sheffield. Voters tin ballot for a maximum of 10 players, truthful successful galore cases, determination simply wasn't capable country to ballot for Wagner. He was fortunate to person much than the 5% of the ballot needed conscionable to stay connected the ballot.

As the ballot logjam dilatory thinned retired done the years, Wagner's ballot totals increased. Rivera was elected successful 2019, truthful it's nary astonishment Wagner saw his percent summation from 16.7% successful 2019 to 31.7% successful 2020, which started his momentum toward eventual election. As Wagner got person successful 2023 and past past year, the final-ballot propulsion that players often person -- spot Tim Raines and Edgar Martinez arsenic 2 others who got elected connected their 10th ballot -- pushed him implicit the 75% threshold.

2. He was 1 of the astir ascendant closers of each time

Look, Rivera is connected his ain upland among relievers, but Wagner has a beardown lawsuit for No. 2. Yes, Wagner is present conscionable eighth successful vocation saves -- Kenley Jansen and Craig Kimbrel person passed him, and non-Hall of Famers Francisco Rodriguez and John Franco besides person much -- but lone Rivera tin lucifer Wagner's dominance.

Compare Wagner to Trevor Hoffman, who is 2nd with 601 vocation saves to Wagner's 422:

Hoffman: 2.87 ERA, 141 ERA+, 9.4 SO/9, .609 OPS allowed
Wagner: 2.31 ERA, 187 ERA+, 11.9 SO/9, .558 OPS allowed

No, Wagner didn't rack up arsenic galore saves, but helium besides retired astatine the apical of his game: In his last season, helium had a 1.43 ERA, 37 saves and 104 strikeouts successful 69 innings. He inactive had plentifulness of zip near successful that fastball.

To enactment Wagner's vocation numbers successful perspective, among pitchers with astatine slightest 900 innings since the live-ball epoch began successful 1920, helium ranks:

• Second successful ERA down lone Rivera's 2.21

• First successful strikeouts per 9 innings

• First successful lowest batting mean allowed (.187)

• Second successful lowest OPS allowed to Rivera's .555

That's Wagner: arguably the hardest pitcher to deed successful MLB history.

3. Voters person been benignant to closers

It didn't wounded Wagner that closers person go the easiest presumption successful which to get elected to the Hall of Fame. Starting with the archetypal modern Hall of Fame relievers from the 1970s, Rollie Fingers and Goose Gossage, determination are present 8 closers successful the Hall of Fame (counting Dennis Eckersley arsenic a reliever, though helium divided his vocation betwixt starting and relieving).

Among players who produced astir of their worth successful the 1970s oregon later, the positional breakdown goes similar this (leaving speech starting pitchers):

Reliever: 8 (Fingers, Eckersley, Bruce Sutter, Gossage, Hoffman, Lee Smith, Rivera, Wagner)

Catcher: 7 (Johnny Bench, Carlton Fisk, Gary Carter, Mike Piazza, Ivan Rodriguez, Ted Simmons, Joe Mauer)

Right field: 7 (Reggie Jackson, Dave Winfield, Tony Gwynn, Vladimir Guerrero, Larry Walker, Dave Parker, Ichiro Suzuki)

First base: 6 (Tony Perez, Eddie Murray, Jeff Bagwell, Jim Thome, Fred McGriff, Todd Helton)

Third base: 6 (Mike Schmidt, George Brett, Wade Boggs, Chipper Jones, Scott Rolen, Adrian Beltre)

Shortstop: 6 (Robin Yount, Ozzie Smith, Cal Ripken, Barry Larkin, Alan Trammell, Derek Jeter)

Second base: 5 (Joe Morgan, Rod Carew, Ryne Sandberg, Roberto Alomar, Craig Biggio)

DH: 5 (Paul Molitor, Frank Thomas, Edgar Martinez, Harold Baines, David Ortiz)

Left field: 4 (Willie Stargell, Jim Rice, Rickey Henderson, Tim Raines)

Center field: 3 (Kirby Puckett, Andre Dawson, Ken Griffey Jr.)

Hmm. There does look to beryllium a acquisition present that you tin construe either way: There are possibly excessively galore relievers -- oregon not capable players astatine the different positions.

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