Is the sun set to shine this weekend?

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Castle ruins sit in the background beside a river with grass either side, a footpath to the right and houses and hills in the background.Image source, BBC Weather Watchers / june gothika

Image caption,

Another cloudy, grey day in North Yorkshire

Sarah Keith-Lucas

Lead Weather Presenter

Are you fed up with the gloomy skies and grey cloud? It's been lingering since last weekend across much of the UK and isn't shifting in a hurry.

Whilst the best of the sunshine has been in the west and north-west of the UK, most places have seen very limited brightness recently, as a thick layer of stratus cloud has been moving in on a chilly easterly breeze.

Map of UK with satellite image of white cloud covering most of the British Isles, but some clearer skies are visible in the west.

Image caption,

This satellite image shows the blanket of low cloud that's been rolling in across the UK from the east

Why is it so grey?

The jet stream is currently flowing quite far north of the UK. This pattern in the upper atmosphere has allowed a large, slow-moving area of high pressure to build over Scandinavia and has led to a cool airmass heading our way.

Whilst high pressure generally brings dry and settled conditions, it can also trap cloud and moisture - especially at this time of year when the winds are blowing over a cold North Sea.

This type of 'buckled' shape in the jet stream is known as a blocking pattern and it can slow or halt the progression of rain-bearing weather fronts, diverting them elsewhere.

Map of North Atlantic showing the jet stream in blue, looped far to the north of the UK.Image source, BBC Weather

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A buckled jet stream is blocking low-pressure systems and preventing them from reaching the UK

Will it be sunny this weekend?

Whilst we expect the general pattern of chilly and mostly cloudy weather to continue for the next week or so - weather fronts may move in from the west later this week.

This could bring a little rain and hill snow to some western parts of the UK during Friday, potentially pushing into northern areas over the weekend. In the south however, a subtle change in wind direction may bring the chance of some long anticipated sunny spells.

Forecast chart for next few days for Edinburgh, Belfast, Cardiff, London.

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Outlook for Friday, Saturday and Sunday

How's the weather looking for the rest of February?

With just over two weeks left of meteorological winter, the weather is expected to stay slightly drier and colder than average for the next week or so, but there are signals for a return to milder and more unsettled conditions as we head towards the end of the month. More details can be found in the latest monthly outlook.

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