Who Are the Favorites to Win Eurovision?

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Some of the buzziest acts taking part in Saturday’s final hail from Croatia, Israel and Ukraine.

Alex Marshall

Published May 10, 2024Updated May 11, 2024, 7:09 a.m. ET

Clockwise from top left: Baby Lasagna (Croatia), Eden Golan (Israel), Bambie Thug (Ireland), and Alyona Alyona and Jerry Heil (Ukraine).Credit...Jessica Gow/EPA, via Shutterstock; Tobias Schwarz/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

On Saturday, acts representing 25 countries will compete at the Eurovision Song Contest, the high-camp competition that is also world’s most watched cultural event. The winner is chosen by a combination of votes from music industry juries in participating countries and viewers watching at home. Sometimes, they reflect the strength of individual performances; other times, politics comes into play.

Who is most likely to triumph at this year’s event in Malmo, Sweden?

It won’t be Joost Klein, a madcap musician representing the Netherlands. On Saturday morning, Swedish police said in a statement that they were investigating a man “suspected of unlawful threats” toward a Eurovision employee, and that officers had passed on a file to prosecutors. A few hours later, Eurovision organizers said in a statement that it was Klein under investigation, and that “it would not be appropriate” for him to compete while a legal process was underway.

Here are the five acts who may have the best chance at winning, based on European bookmakers’ odds and online chatter.


The bookmakers’ favorite is Baby Lasagna, representing Croatia, with “Rim Tim Tagi Dim” — a madcap three-minute mixture of heavy metal and dance music.


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