Who will start for the Browns and Colts in Week 1? We made QB battle predictions

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  • Dan GrazianoJul 28, 2025, 06:30 AM ET

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      Dan Graziano is simply a elder NFL nationalist newsman for ESPN, covering the full league and breaking news. Dan besides contributes to Get Up, NFL Live, SportsCenter, ESPN Radio, Sunday NFL Countdown and Fantasy Football Now. He is simply a New Jersey autochthonal who joined ESPN successful 2011, and helium is besides the writer of 2 published novels.

Th 2025 NFL training campy season is simply a small airy connected existent quarterback battles, but the 4 we tin intelligibly place are fascinating.

The Saints person a rookie trying to bushed retired veterans who've been determination -- but haven't done much. The Giants person a rookie and a brace of veterans who besides just got there. The Colts person their ain erstwhile first-round prime and the Giants' erstwhile first-round pick, some of whom could beryllium connected their past chance. And the Browns... well, the Browns person a QB competition the likes of which we've ne'er seen before.

So aft spending the past mates weeks calling astir and asking league sources what they cognize and who they deliberation volition triumph these 4 campy QB battles, I wanted to springiness you a rundown of wherever things basal with conscionable nether six weeks until the commencement of the season. We couldn't commencement anyplace but Cleveland:

Jump to a QB battle:
Browns | Colts | Giants | Saints

Cleveland Browns

Candidates: Joe Flacco, Kenny Pickett, Dillon Gabriel, Shedeur Sanders

Flacco and Pickett are some erstwhile first-round picks, though not by Cleveland. Gabriel and Sanders are rookies who were drafted successful the 3rd and 5th circular successful April, respectively. Let's tackle them successful bid of seniority.

Flacco, who was the Super Bowl XLVII MVP for the Ravens 13 seasons ago, is 40 years aged and entering his 18th NFL season. He started 5 games for the Browns astatine the extremity of the 2023 regular play and won four, helping assistance Cleveland into the playoffs successful a play that saw them commencement 5 antithetic quarterbacks. (The Browns mislaid to Houston successful the wild-card round, with Flacco throwing two pick-sixes.) Last play helium started six games for the Colts and posted a QBR of 53.4 -- the archetypal clip helium has enactment up a QBR implicit 50 since 2020 erstwhile helium played 4 games for the Jets. In the past six seasons since leaving Baltimore, helium has thrown 46 touchdown passes and 28 interceptions portion making 29 starts and winning 9 of them.

Pickett was the first-round pick of the part rival Steelers conscionable 3 years ago, but helium washed out of Pittsburgh rapidly and spent past play backing up Jalen Hurts for the Super Bowl champion Eagles. This offseason, the Browns traded backmost Dorian Thompson-Robinson and a fifth-round prime for Pickett, who has thrown 15 touchdown passes and 14 interceptions successful 30 games crossed 3 NFL seasons.

Then came the draft, wherever the Browns passed connected Sanders aggregate times, drafted Gabriel connected Day 2 and past yet moved up connected Day 3 to get Sanders aft all. Gabriel played for 3 antithetic assemblage programs implicit six years, but his champion play was 2024 with Oregon, erstwhile helium threw for 3,857 yards with 30 touchdowns to pb the Ducks to an undefeated regular play and Big Ten title earlier losing to eventual champion Ohio State successful the playoff quarterfinal successful the Rose Bowl. Sanders played for his father, Pro Football Hall of Famer Deion Sanders, for 2 years astatine Jackson State and 2 years astatine Colorado. He threw for 4,134 yards with 37 touchdowns and 10 picks past play and was projected by galore to beryllium a first-round pick successful the weeks starring up to the draft.

(It's besides important to enactment that Deshaun Watson is inactive connected the Browns' roster making $46 million successful afloat guaranteed wealth this twelvemonth and next. He is rehabbing an Achilles tendon injury and is not apt to play this season.)

The Browns are struggling to find ways to get each 4 quarterbacks an appropriate fig of signifier reps to signifier a existent competition, and that could outgo the rookies, who spent astir of the outpouring moving down Flacco and Pickett connected the depth chart. Cleveland is unfastened to the thought of any 1 of the four winning the occupation for Week 1, and the mode the coaching unit divides reps successful the coming weeks could connection clues astir who is successful the lead. It's besides imaginable -- adjacent apt -- they extremity up trading 1 of these guys earlier play starts to easiness the logjam.

Week 1 starter prediction: Pickett. I'm definite that's not the astir fashionable prime among the instrumentality base, but arsenic 1 league enforcement pointed retired to me, he's the 1 of these 4 the Browns tried the hardest to get. They acquired him successful aboriginal March, knowing Watson was a agelong changeable to play this play and earlier they knew whether they would bring backmost Flacco oregon prime a azygous backmost -- fto unsocial 2 -- successful the draft.

There was a clip this offseason erstwhile Pickett -- who present has a hamstring injury -- was the lone steadfast backmost connected the roster. If helium performs good capable successful campy and successful the preseason, don't beryllium amazed if helium gets archetypal ace astatine this thing, though I'd expect astatine slightest 1 of the rookies to commencement this play truthful the Browns tin fig retired what they person successful them earlier taking two first-round picks into the 2026 draft.

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Indianapolis Colts

Candidates: Anthony Richardson Sr., Daniel Jones

Jones was supposed to beryllium the semipermanent backmost reply for the Giants, who picked him No. 6 successful the 2019 draft. But helium got benched and past released past season, which helium finished arsenic a member of the Vikings. He past signed with the Colts successful March to supply contention for Richardson, whom Indy picked No. 4 successful 2023.

Richardson has played conscionable 15 games implicit his archetypal 2 NFL seasons, chiefly owed to a variety of injuries. He had an contented with his throwing shoulder that kept him retired of offseason work, but helium arrived astatine grooming campy steadfast and acceptable to compete. Richardson is inactive precise young -- helium turned 23 successful May -- and his earthy quality is disconnected the charts. But helium has had occupation staying connected the tract and hasn't played well erstwhile helium has been available. He has 11 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions successful his career, though helium has added 10 rushing scores.

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McAfee: Anthony Richardson looks similar he's astir to instrumentality implicit the full AFC

Pat McAfee reacts to a photograph of Anthony Richardson showing up to Colts grooming campy looking amended than ever.

Both Richardson and Jones connection thing other with their legs, but Richardson's size and velocity are the main reasons helium was picked arsenic precocious arsenic helium was. The Colts ever saw him arsenic a project. The occupation is that helium hasn't been steadfast capable for them to make him the mode they had hoped. Indianapolis hasn't won the AFC South since 2014, erstwhile Andrew Luck was the backmost and Chuck Pagano was the coach. That's the longest division-title drought of immoderate squad successful the division, and there's pressure on wide manager Chris Ballard and manager Shane Steichen to extremity it soon. Which means that yes, they inactive request to spot what Richardson tin be, but they besides request to triumph games.

Week 1 starter prediction: Richardson. I cognize Jones appears to person taken implicit the No. 1 spot connected the depth chart aft Richardson's outpouring injury, but grooming campy is wherever Richardson looks the champion -- if he's healthy, he's apt to outperform Jones connected the signifier field.

The Colts besides person a batch much invested successful Richardson, and if it's a adjacent competition, astir radical I speech to judge that volition tilt things successful his favour -- astatine slightest to commencement the season. Whether helium tin enactment steadfast capable oregon play good capable to clasp the occupation is different substance entirely.

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New Orleans Saints

Candidates: Tyler Shough, Spencer Rattler, Jake Haener

Shough is the rookie the Saints selected with the No. 40 pick successful April's draft. He played 7 assemblage shot seasons, the archetypal 3 with Oregon, the 2nd 3 with Texas Tech and past past play with Louisville, wherever helium threw for 3,195 yards with 23 touchdowns and six interceptions. Injury issues are a large crushed helium didn't get picked higher, but the Saints weren't the lone squad that was precocious connected him predraft; galore astir the league inactive judge helium could crook retired to beryllium 1 of the champion -- if not the champion -- quarterbacks successful the 2025 class. He turns 26 successful September.

When they drafted Shough, the Saints inactive had seasoned Derek Carr nether contract, though astatine the clip determination was immoderate concern astir his health and availability for the season. Carr amazed everyone by retiring successful May, and erstwhile that happened the casual presumption was that Shough was the front-runner to start.

Not truthful fast, accidental the Saints. They are holding a existent three-way competition betwixt Shough, Rattler and Haener -- a radical that has made a combined seven NFL starts and won zero. The coaching unit is dividing first-team reps evenly successful the aboriginal portion of campy and isn't apt to determination heavy into the decision-making process until they spot these guys play successful preseason games.

Rattler was the team's fifth-round prime past season. He played successful 7 games (with six starts) past play and completed 57% of his passes portion throwing 4 touchdown passes and 5 picks. Haener was the team's fourth-rounder successful 2023, didn't play astatine each that play and made 1 commencement a twelvemonth ago. He has 1 touchdown walk and 1 interception successful the NFL, wherever helium has completed 18 of his 39 attempts.

On the surface, the numbers bespeak Rattler and Haener should beryllium beauteous casual for the 40th prime to bushed out. But aggregate league executives importune determination are radical successful the Saints' gathering who are large fans of Rattler and judge helium could make into a bully starter if fixed the accidental and the close coaching. And Haener is simply a feline they liked capable to draught successful Round 4 but hasn't had a existent accidental to amusement what helium tin bash yet. The important information points are each inactive to come, arsenic this contention is conscionable beginning.

Week 1 starter prediction: Shough. I don't cognize that it's just to telephone him caller manager Kellen Moore's pick, but evidently Moore is simply a instrumentality and mightiness bask a accidental to physique his programme astir the feline for whose draught helium was already with the organization.

What the Saints are doing is fair, and it could nutrient a astonishment if Rattler (who is precisely 1 twelvemonth younger than Shough) outperforms Haener and the rookie successful the preseason. But this coaching unit has nary anterior transportation to Rattler and Haener, truthful without immoderate existent information connected which to basal a prediction astatine this point, I'll thin toward the feline they liked capable to prime successful Round 2 4 months ago.

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New York Giants

Candidates: Russell Wilson, Jameis Winston, Jaxson Dart

Tommy DeVito is the lone QB connected the roster who has ever played a crippled for the Giants, and it's apt that each 3 of the others would person to get wounded for him to start. The Giants signed Winston, past Wilson, up of the draught truthful that whichever rookie they selected wouldn't person to consciousness unit to play close away. That rookie ended up being Dart aft they traded backmost into Round 1 to get him.

Dart threw for 4,279 yards with 29 touchdown passes and six interceptions past play for a 10-3 Ole Miss team. Of the quarterbacks the Giants knew they would person a accidental to get (meaning immoderate of them but Cam Ward), helium was the 1 who most impressed manager Brian Daboll and the New York unit successful the pre-draft process. Daboll is present tasked with molding him into a prime NFL starter, nary substance however agelong that takes.

Daboll has said connected the grounds that Wilson is the Giants' starter. The 13-year seasoned and erstwhile Super Bowl champion has bounced astir from Seattle to Denver to Pittsburgh to New York implicit the past 4 years. He'll crook 37 successful November. Multiple league execs I spoke to for this communicative judge this could beryllium a concern akin to the 1 the Giants pulled disconnected successful Eli Manning's rookie play successful 2004, erstwhile seasoned Kurt Warner started the archetypal fractional of the play past gave mode to Manning. But that's lone going to hap if Dart shows he's ready. New York would emotion to play good capable astir Wilson to triumph games and fto Dart develop. It would alternatively this beryllium Patrick Mahomes' 2017 rookie play than Manning's 2004 one.

Of course, the Giants are coming disconnected a 3-14 play and haven't won their part since 2011, erstwhile they went connected to triumph their fourth Super Bowl. They've made the playoffs lone doubly successful the past 13 years, their docket looks formidable and Wilson hasn't played good successful astatine slightest 3 years.

Could Winston origin successful arsenic the No. 2 QB connected the depth chart aboriginal connected if they truly don't deliberation Dart is adjacent to being ready? Sure. Could Winston beryllium a commercialized anticipation if Dart looks similar helium mightiness beryllium acceptable soon? Absolutely. This concern is truly each astir Dart, who has to get a changeable to beryllium the Giants' franchise backmost sooner oregon later. Both veterans cognize they're conscionable keeping seats lukewarm for the rookie.

Week 1 starter prediction: Wilson. Daboll has been wide each on that Wilson is there to beryllium the starter and Dart is determination to larn and develop. It's surely not retired of the question that Dart dazzles and Wilson fizzles successful preseason and Dart becomes the Week 1 starter. But astatine the contiguous time, that is not the mode the Giants are reasoning astir this concern oregon mounting up the signifier reps.

I foretell Dart plays astatine immoderate constituent this play but that Wilson volition get the start successful the opener successful Washington (and astir apt Week 2 against Dallas arsenic well).

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